Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-29 0.028514 0.030589 0.032751 0.035177 0.037826 0.040634 0.043841
2025-07-06 0.025465 0.028471 0.031767 0.035662 0.040156 0.045196 0.051305
2025-07-13 0.023154 0.026694 0.030725 0.035681 0.041648 0.048646 0.057543
2025-07-20 0.021640 0.025580 0.030206 0.036083 0.043417 0.052351 0.064190
2025-07-27 0.020147 0.024309 0.029323 0.035870 0.044290 0.054887 0.069444
2025-08-03 0.018897 0.023211 0.028523 0.035631 0.045021 0.057189 0.074458
2025-08-10 0.017838 0.022260 0.027815 0.035411 0.045696 0.059383 0.079406
2025-08-17 0.016949 0.021458 0.027226 0.035273 0.046418 0.061627 0.084523
2025-08-24 0.016021 0.020543 0.026421 0.034769 0.046570 0.063042 0.088498
2025-08-31 0.015137 0.019634 0.025565 0.034127 0.046457 0.064033 0.091865
2025-09-07 0.014460 0.018965 0.024990 0.033829 0.046791 0.065655 0.096263
2025-09-14 0.013859 0.018368 0.024479 0.033579 0.047161 0.067323 0.100817
2025-09-21 0.013182 0.017639 0.023754 0.032988 0.046996 0.068182 0.104168
2025-09-28 0.012851 0.017380 0.023680 0.033342 0.048270 0.071328 0.111504
2025-10-05 0.012436 0.016981 0.023382 0.033337 0.048978 0.073610 0.117551
2025-10-12 0.012158 0.016765 0.023334 0.033702 0.050274 0.076905 0.125602
2025-10-19 0.011743 0.016328 0.022939 0.033504 0.050648 0.078689 0.131096
2025-10-26 0.011348 0.015906 0.022545 0.033284 0.050963 0.080377 0.136534
2025-11-02 0.010983 0.015513 0.022176 0.033082 0.051289 0.082091 0.142139
2025-11-09 0.010659 0.015168 0.021866 0.032954 0.051725 0.084010 0.148283
2025-11-16 0.010271 0.014712 0.021365 0.032491 0.051556 0.084834 0.152335
2025-11-23 0.009874 0.014228 0.020803 0.031899 0.051130 0.085161 0.155402
2025-11-30 0.009572 0.013881 0.020442 0.031624 0.051241 0.086468 0.160567